On the Bubble 2010: The Renewal/Cancellation Odds for Shows Such As CHUCK, FLASHFORWARD, and HUMAN TARGET

     April 30, 2010

pilot season TV ABC, CBS, FOX, CW, NBC slice.jpg

Last week, I put together a look at the various pilots that are fighting for a spot on the network schedules in the fall.  Of course, the networks cannot achieve their “in with the new” objective without first taking care of the first half of that saying: “Out with the old . . .”  A number of shows currently on the air–even series that are near and dear to your heart–must die a horrible and bloody death to make room for such potential hits as the J.J. Abrams spy drama Undercovers.

After the jump, we’ll distinguish between survivor and sacrificial lamb for such network series as Chuck, Heroes, FlashForward, V, Human Target, Numb3rs, and One Tree Hill.

Here’s the basic format: we’ll get the shows that are already renewed or cancelled out of the way without any bothersome commentary.  Same goes for the shows that definitely coming back despite the absence of an official announcement (such hits as Grey’s Anatomy, NCIS, or House).  I should note that I focused on scripted shows on the five broadcast networks; my apologies to reality/cable series.

I consider shows that have not been officially cancelled nor renewed to be “on the bubble.”  I  wax poetic about the chances of each bubble show, and designate my prediction of its fate as either “CANCELLED” or “RENEWED“–these are just guesses, and I could be way off base (I is kinda dumb after all), so please be gentle with your criticism.

Thanks to TV by the Numbers their wealth of information on ratings and renewals.

slice_abc_logo_01.jpg

ABC

Already Renewed
Brothers & Sisters
Castle
Cougar Town
The Middle
Modern Family

Sure to Be Renewed
Desperate Housewives
Grey’s Anatomy
Private Practice

Already Cancelled
Eastwick
The Forgotten
Hank
Scrubs
Ugly Betty

monica_baccarin_tv_image_abc_V_01.jpgOn the Bubble
Better Off Ted: It somehow escaped cancellation last year despite an incredibly limited viewership.  I don’t think it can do it again.  Too bad, really–I love this show.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

The Deep End: I was surprised this one wasn’t already cancelled.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

FlashForward: After a strong launch, ratings have plummeted.  With critical support mostly absent, there won’t be a season two.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Happy Town: This Twin Peaks wannabe could maybe survive moderate ratings or a critical drubbing, but not both.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Romantically Challenged
: ABC will need to try and find something else for their darling Alyssa Milano to do.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

V
: Critical notice and ratings have held up slightly better than FlashForward, and V has the extraterrestrial goods to seize pop culture once again with a buzzworthy finale if well-managed.  I’ll bet ABC brings it back if the showrunners pitch a good season two.
-Verdict: RENEWED

slice_cbs_network_logo.jpg

CBS

Already Renewed
The Big Bang Theory
The Good Wife
How I Met Your Mother
NCIS: Los Angeles
Two and a Half Men

Sure to Be Renewed
Criminal Minds
CSI
CSI: Miami
CSI: NY
The Mentalist
NCIS

Already Cancelled
Three Rivers

ghost_whisperer_jennifer_love_hewitt__1_.jpgOn the Bubble
Accidentally on Purpose: In theory, the ratings suggest it could go either way.  But I think CBS will be nicer to the male-led bubble comedies (Rules of Engagement, Gary) than the female starrers (Accidentally, Old Christine)
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Cold Case
: After seven seasons, Case has aged beyond sufficient ratings to justify its bloated budget.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Gary Unmarried
: With the untouchable status of their Monday comedy block, CBS desperately wants to spread their sitcom dominance to Wednesday, and the consistent Gary could make a nice companion piece to the William Shatner pilot Bleep My Dad Says.
-Verdict: RENEWED

Ghost Whisperer
: I could probably list this under “Sure to Be Renewed”, but there’s a small chance CBS wants to wipe the slate completely clean for a fresh start on Friday.
-Verdict: RENEWED

Medium
: See Ghost Whisperer
-Verdict: RENEWED

Miami Medical
: It’s DOA!  It flatlined!  It’s in critical condition!  Other medical puns!
-Verdict: CANCELLED

The New Adventures of Old Christine
: If only one comedy survives the Wednesday comedy block, it will be Gary.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Numb3rs
: Although a reliable performer for years, CBS will clear Numb3rs out to try something new on Friday nights.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Rules of Engagement
: This David Spade sitcom has been a steady midseason comedy replacement for the network over the last couple years, and it will continue to be.
-Verdict: RENEWED

slice_cw_logo_01.jpg

The CW

Already Renewed
90210
Gossip Girl
Smallville
Supernatural
The Vampire Diaries

Already Cancelled
The Beautiful Life: TBL

On the Bubble
Life Unexpected: The family-friendly soap gets pretty solid ratings for The CW, but is relatively light on the network’s target audience of Women 18-34 compared to the rest of the schedule.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Melrose Place:
There is no chance of a second season.
-Verdict: CANCELLED

One Tree Hill
: Many analysts think the network will save either Life or OTH; I’m gonna go out on a limb and say they go with option c).
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Fox-logo.jpg

FOX

Already Renewed
American Dad
Bones
The Cleveland Show
Family Guy
Fringe
Glee
The Simpsons

Sure to Be Renewed
House

lie_to_me_tv_show_cast_monica_raymund_brendan_hines_tim_roth_kelli_williams_01.jpgAlready Cancelled
24
Brothers
Dollhouse
Past Life
Sons of Tucson
‘Til Death

On the Bubble
Human Target: I think the network brass like it enough to give it another shot in the fall, especially since it looks like three hours will open up in the absence of a fall edition of So You Think You Can Dance.
-Verdict: RENEWED

Lie to Me: The remaining episodes of season two were pushed to the summer, which is not a good sign.  But depending on how those episodes perform, I predict a short order for another season as a utility player.  Worst case scenario: FOX has no holes to fill, and they’ve got some fresh material for summer 2011.
-Verdict: RENEWED

slice_nbc_logo_01.jpg

NBC

Already Renewed
30 Rock
Community
Friday Night Lights
The Office
Parenthood
Parks & Recreation

Sure to Be Renewed
Law & Order: SVU

Chuck image Zachary Levi, Yvonne Strahovski (1).JPGOn the Bubble
Chuck: This may be a case of “If I say it aloud enough, it will come true.”  But I believe NBC will order a season four, perhaps as a midseason replacement they can count on to deliver a 2.X in the 18-49 demo each week.
-Verdict: RENEWED

Heroes: There are rumors of a 13-episode “final season”, but I’m not sure I buy it.  Cut it loose, NBC!
-Verdict: CANCELLED

Law & Order: Low ratings are not enough to counteract the appeal of a record-breaking 21st season that would push the show past Gunsmoke to become the longest-running prime time drama ever.  Chant it with me now, “Le-ga-cy!  Le-ga-cy!”
-Verdict: RENEWED

Mercy/Trauma: I honestly forgot to include these shows, but noticed their absence right before I submitted this article for publishing.  I used up all my medical-related puns on Miami Medical, so . . .
-Verdict: DOUBLE CANCELLED

Tags

Around The Web

Television

Here’s What’s Leaving Netflix in June: JACK REACHER, THE ROCKETEER, and More

Time to hurry up and watch 'Snatch', 'The Silence of the Lambs', and 'Taxi Driver'.

ORPHAN BLACK Recap: “Certain Agony of the Battlefield”

After two whole seasons, Dylan Bruce finally gets to show off what he's capable of.

Here’s What’s New to Netflix in June: Marvel, Scorsese, and More

'The Aviator', 'Transformers: Age of Extinction', and an original series from the Wachowski siblings are among the new releases coming to Netflix next month.

New SCREAM QUEENS Featurette: Go Behind the Scenes with Ryan Murphy and the Cast

Everyone has a motive ...

TV Performer of the Week: Tom Cavanagh, THE FLASH

A mysterious and captivating performance that provided a great complexity for the season's main question mark.

FX Orders Kurt Sutter’s THE BASTARD EXECUTIONER to Series

'True Blood' actor Stephen Moyer and Katey Segal lead the cast of the 13th Century-set drama.

See First Photos of WET HOT AMERICAN SUMMER: FIRST DAY OF CAMP

And they are everything fans could possibly want.

Red Nose Day: Watch Anna Kendrick as Indiana Jones, Kermit Singing, More

In the first Red Nose Day special on American shores (benefitting the charity Comic Relief), celebrities such as Julia Roberts, Hugh Grant, Anna Kendrick, and even Kermit the Frog all showed up to participate in the live telecast.

Watch GAME OF THRONES: THE MUSICAL Starring Peter Dinklage, Kit Harington, and More

The 'Game of Thrones' cast and Coldplay got together to create a 12-minute sketch to raise money for Red Nose Day.

TEEN WOLF Season 5 Trailer: Senior Year Bites

Dylan O'Brien and Tyler Posey lead the supernatural series, which looks to be taking a dark turn in its fifth season.

Page 1 of 68312345...102030...Last »