At long last here we are: Oscar nominations predictions time. This has been one of the noisiest awards seasons I’ve ever covered, as A Star Is Born made a big splash last fall, only for the next few months to be dominated by think piece after think piece after think piece. Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody have stirred up enough controversies to last a few awards seasons (some warranted, some not) and Roma filmmaker Alfonso Cuarón continues to be plagued with questions about Netflix and theatrical distribution. To put it into perspective: Vice, the film that paints a monstrous portrait of former Vice President Dick Cheney, is one of the least controversial films in this year’s awards race.
Will any of this matter come Oscar nominations time? Will voters’ minds be swayed by the ethical implications of twisting true stories in Green Book or Bohemian Rhapsody? We’ll find out on Tuesday when the nominations are officially announced, but for now I did my best to put my head down, drown out the noise, and focus on which films, performers, and craftspeople will be nominated.
So below are my Oscar nominations predictions in most of the categories, along with my justification in each category. Come back next week for my take on the actual nominees, which will be announced early on Tuesday, January 22nd.
Of note: The predicted nominees in each category are listed in order of likelihood to be nominated.