Adam and Matt Predict the 85th Academy Awards

by     Posted 1 year, 237 days ago

2013-oscars-slice

Adam and I briefly talked about our predictions on the latest episode of The Collision, but we know your Oscar pool needs more guidance.  It’s a rough year, and a lot of Oscar ballots are going to go down in flames.  Last year, I played the wild card on my Oscar predictions and lost big, but this year I’m going to try and be a bit savvier.  However, I’m going up against Collider’s Oscar guru, so if you’re going to copy one of our cheat-sheets, it’s probably best to cheat off Adam.

Hit the jump for who we think deserves to win and who we think will win at the 85th Academy Awards.  Be sure to come back Sunday night when I’ll be live-blogging the ceremony.  Adam and I will also be tweeting the Oscars, so be sure to follow us @AdamChitwood and @MattGoldberg, respectively.

BEST PICTURE

argo-posterMatt

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Adam

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST DIRECTOR

Matt

Will Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Should Win: Behn Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Adam

Will Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Should Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

BEST ACTOR

Matt

Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Adam

Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

BEST ACTRESS

Matt

Will Win: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

Should Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Adam

Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Should Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Matt

the-master-posterWill Win: Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Adam

Will Win: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Matt

Will Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Should Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Adam

Will Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Should Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

BEST ANIMATED FILM

Matt

Will Win: Brave

Should Win: ParaNorman

Adam

Will Win: Brave

Should Win: ParaNorman

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Matt

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Skyfall

Adam

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Skyfall

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

anna-karenina-movie-posterMatt

Will Win: Anna Karenina

Should Win: Anna Karenina

Adam

Will Win: Anna Karenina

Should Win: Anna Karenina

BEST DOCUMENTARY

Matt

Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man

Should Win: Searching for Sugar Man

Adam

Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Matt

Will Win: Open Heart

Adam

Will Win: Open Heart

BEST EDITING

Matt

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Adam

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

amour-posterMatt

Will Win: Amour

Should Win: Amour

Adam

Will Win: Amour

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Matt

Will Win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Should Win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Adam

Will Win: Les Miserables

Should Win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

BEST MUSIC

Matt

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Life of Pi

Adam

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Life of Pi

BEST MUSIC – ORIGINAL SONG

Matt

skyfall-posterWill Win: “Skyfall” from Skyfall

Should Win: “Skyfall” from Skyfall

Adam

Will Win: Skyfall” from Skyfall

Should Win: Skyfall” from Skyfall

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Matt

Will Win: Anna Karenina

Should Win: Anna Karenina

Adam

Will Win: Anna Karenina

Should Win: Anna Karenina

BEST SHORT FILM – ANIMATED

Matt

Will Win: Paperman

Should Win: Paperman

Adam

Will Win: Paperman

Should Win: Paperman

BEST SHORT FILM – LIVE ACTION

Matt

Will Win: Curfew

Should Win: Death of a Shadow

Adam

Will Win: Curfew

BEST SOUND EDITING

life of pi posterMatt

Will Win: Skyfall

Should Win: Skyfall

Adam

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Skyfall

BEST SOUND MIXING

Matt

Will Win: Les Miserables

Should Win: Skyfall

Adam

Will Win: Les Miserables

Should Win: Les Miserables

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Matt

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: The Avengers

Adam

Will Win: Life of Pi

Should Win: Life of Pi

BEST WRITING – ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Matt

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Adam

Will Win: Argo

Should Win: Lincoln

BEST WRITING – ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Matt

Will Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Adam

Will Win: Django Unchained

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty




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  • Lizard King

    Good picks! I agree with most here, however, I am a little uncertain about your best director and best original music picks. Life of Pi has beauty on its side, but I really feel like the academy will give director with a film holding superior dialog like Lincoln, and everybody loves giving John Williams awards. John Williams is the Adele of orchestras.

    • Austin

      Superior dialogue in Lincoln? Did you see the movie? It was terribly directed, just like most of the garbage Spielberg is associated with

      • Ron

        Did YOU see the movie? Was it the best film ever? No. But it was finely directed – far from terrible. Also, “most of the garbage Spielberg is associated with” – are you freaking kidding me!? One of our greatest living directors and you say that?

        I suppose you think Munich, Minority Report, Saving Private Ryan, Jurassic Park, Schindler’s List, Raiders of the Lost Ark, E.T., Close Encounters, & Jaws (just to nail the highlights), are all garbage?

        Get your head out of your ass.

    • Austin

      That being said, Daniel Day Lewis was AMAZING…really the only redeeming quality of the film outside of set design and costume. I will scream if it wins any awards outside of best actor…..I especially hope Tommy Lee Jones (whom I usually love) doesn’t get rewarded for yelling about how stupid other people are for 30 mins

    • Twojawas

      I was convinced that Daniel Day Lewis should win best actor until I saw The Master. Phoenix was unbelievable. One of the best performances I’d ever seen.

      • Austin

        Phoenix is the only person I would be fine with winning over Day Lewis. It’s a shame Philip Seymour Hoffman isn’t likely to win best supporting actor as well….The Master simply had outstanding performances all around. It’s the most underrated movie of the year (outside of maybe Moonrise Kingdom)

  • Carl

    Some good picks here, Now I’ll just go ahead be the ass-whole who shares their picks to show off their brilliance:
    Picture:Argo
    Actress: Emmanuelle Riva Animation: Wreck It Ralph
    Actor: Daniel Day Lewis Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Original Screenplay: Django Unchained

  • Josh Kaye

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
    Best Writing, Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Best Writing, Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Animated Feature: ParaNorman
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Documentary, Short: Open Heart
    Best Live Action Short: Curfew
    Best Animated Short: Paperman
    Best Original Score: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Adele, Skyfall
    Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Cinematography: Roger Deakins, Skyfall
    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi

    • Afilmguy

      You have a very good list. I agree with most (and others I can’t really have a say because I missed out on quite a few this year, sadly). I was wondering for your opinion, though, for a few things: 1) Do you think the presentation of the Hobbit (the 48fps is what I mean mostly) will affect the delivery of the make-up choice? 2) It’s interesting to see you have a best director who is different from the best picture. Don’t you think the Academy might just pair up Affleck with his film? Just interested to know your thoughts. :)

      • NCC-1701

        Affleck can’t be paired up with his film because he wasn’t nominated, and I’m not entirely sure about the Academy’s policy on write-ins, but I don’t think they’re permitted.

      • Bob

        Affleck was not nominated for Best Director. I know, its pure insanity that he wasn’t.

      • Lizard King

        Affleck was not nominated, but Argo has won all the major overlap competitions, which means a large portion of academy voters have already voted for the picture previously, so it would stand to reason that they should probably vote for it again this time. Hopefully they can keep sound mind enough to vote by what they think deserves it, and not go pairing awards or giving legacy votes or anything like that.

      • Josh Kaye

        I honestly thought about the whole 48fps thing with The Hobbit. But I don’t think that’ll hurt it’s chances that much, mainly since the presentations of the film in the regular 24 fps, as well as IMAX was perfectly fine.

        And yeah, Affleck wasn’t nominated…which is still weird.

    • Faiz

      ZDT and Argo were two of the neatest and best directed movies of the year…they truly wouldn’t have worked without Bigelow and Affleck’s slick direction

      i really liked Silver Linings Playbook and Lincoln but Spielberg and Russell could have been swapped for the two

      fantastic list, though..exactly the same as mine though i thought Wreck-it-Ralph would nab the best animated feature (somehow this is where the academy gets unpredictable)

      • Josh Kaye

        Brave seems to be winning Best Animated Feature at every awards show. It’s making no sense to me.

        Wreck-It Ralph could just as easily win as well as Frankenweenie and ParaNorman.

      • Bob

        I would have swapped the directors for Beasts and Amour for Affleck and Bigelow. That’s just me though. Oh, and if I am being for real I also would have swapped Russel for Tarantino.

      • Josh Kaye

        I would have swapped Affleck out for one of them, definitely. But all of those directors nominated deserved it, as well as a couple who weren’t. This really was one of the best years in cinema. Almost every important director had a film come out this year. It was amazing.

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  • The Exploiter

    I would imagine you are wrong on Argo getting Best Picture, seeing as he wasn’t nominated for Best Director. Hopefully I am wrong, because it was fantastic.

  • Spence

    Wow, someone really likes Beasts of the Southern Wild. If that wins best picture it’ll be the biggest travesty since Crash won.

    • Austin

      I love this statement! Neither really even deserved a best picture nomination

  • Austin

    Beasts of the Southern Wild was just a terrible, terrible film….like 2.5 out of 10. I seriously do not get the ******* hype!! And don’t mistake me for someone who just doesn’t like these types of movies…I’m all about Cannes

    • FilmIsObsolete

      Exactly this, what a pretentious, boring hipster jerk off of a film. I think it is a shame it was nominated for ANYTHING. Talk about hype machine. I haven’t met a single person that likes the film. Beautiful camera work and good acting, wtf everything else.

    • WhatThePoo?

      Exactly this, what a pretentious, boring hipster jerk off of a film. I think it is a shame it was nominated for ANYTHING. Talk about hype machine. I haven’t met a single person that likes the film. Beautiful camera work and good acting, wtf everything else.

    • Ron

      You are, just, wow…. first you hate on Spielberg & Lincoln, and now this? Do you even like movies?

  • Dave Mueller

    I think Roger Deakins has a chance with Skyfall. He’s had a long career and never nabbed an Oscar-so I think they’ll take this opportunity to make it up to him.

    Same with Philip Seymour Hoffman. Christoph Waltz just won a couple years back, so I don’t think they’ll award him a second one so soon. Hoffman has a decent chance.

    • Austin

      I would absolutely LOVE to see Hoffman win! I won’t be upset if Waltz wins though

  • Marlboroliteman

    What, Andy Serkis wasn’t nominated for Best Supporting Actor for his motion capture work as Gollum ….WAAAAAA,WAAAAA, when will he be recognized!!! WAAAAAAAA, this is a travesty, WAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Who will win: Tommy (Gun) Lee Jones – Lincoln
    Who should win: Andy Serkis – The Hobbit an Unexpected Journey…..WAAAAAAA,

    Just throwing in the semi annual Andy Serkis should get an Oscar for his motion capture work argument bullshit, everyone seems to have forgotten this year….now all is right in the World again.

    • J Wilson

      So, you’re baggin’ on folks for not doing what you never wanted them to do in the first place? Surely you’ve better things to do?

  • Dan

    Argo
    Steven Spielberg
    Daniel Day-Lewis
    Jennifer Lawrence
    Robert De Niro
    Anne Hathaway
    Wreck-It-Ralph
    Life of Pie
    Anna Karenina
    Searching for Sugar Man
    Inocente
    Argo
    Amour
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pie
    Skyfall
    Lincoln
    Adam and Dog
    Death of a Shadow
    Skyfall
    Les Miserables
    Life of Pie
    Lincoln
    Amour

  • potterboy

    Joaquin Phoenix SHOULD win even if DDL was amazing in LINCOLN. Freddie is an “out of this world” performance. kind of like Daniel Plainview

    wouldn’t it be amazing if the three MASTER actors win it all. come on Amy, pull a shocker on Anne. Joaquin, pull another shocker. Phil, take the trophy that’s yours. actors should rally for THE MASTER.

  • Connor

    Personally, I think anything BUT Wreck-It Ralph should win best Animated Feature. Yeah, it was good, but every other film that was nominated blew it out of the water. I really want The Pirates! Band Of Misfits to pull an upset because out of the nominees, it was the funniest and most charming of the group.
    Frankenweenie is a close second.

  • Ryan

    I really don’t see how you guys think Ang Lee is gonna win Best Director. LIFE OF PI was great, but I think the Academy will go for the legacy vote here and give it to Spielberg, ranking him alongside Wyler and Capra, two of the filmmaker’s idols. The dark horse, in my opinion, will be O’Russell, who’s a shell of the brilliance he used to be.

  • boybutterlovesmovies

    Why Is Everyone Hating On BRAVE!? BRAVE Is An Exceptional Film! The Story Was Somewhat Cliche But There Were New Elements Within The Story That Created New Life. I Loved How There Wasn’t The Boy Falls In Love With Girl, Girl Falls In Love With Boy, Girl Gets Captured By Villain, Boy Must Save Girl From Villain, & Then Happy Ever After! This Story Is About A Young Woman Being Forced To Become A Princess & Being Forced To Be With Someone She Doesn’t Want To (Tradition).

    BRAVE Is A Very Emotional Movie On So Many Levels. The Relationship Between Merida & Her Mother Is Up & Down Because Her Mother Wants Her To Follow Tradition & Merida Doesn’t Want To Live That Kind of Life. I Don’t Want To Spoil The Movie For Anyone. BRAVE Is Not Your Typical Fantasy Movie. The Villain Is Different, The Story Is Engaging, & The Visual Effects Are Simply Amazing. I Purchased The Ultimate Collectors Edition & My Daughter & I Have Seen It At Least 9 Times. I Enjoyed WRECK IT RALPH No Doubt But BRAVE Has My Vote!

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