Weekend Box Office: MALEFICENT Rules with $70 Million; A MILLION WAYS TO DIE IN THE WEST Stumbles in Third

by     Posted 203 days ago

maleficent-box-officeangelina-jolie

The final weekend in May had room for only one regent – and it wasn’t Seth MacFarlane.  Disney’s Maleficent ruled the box office with an estimated $70 million from 3,948 locations while MacFarlane’s A Million Ways to Die in the West settled for a disappointing third place debut.

 Title Weekend Total
1.  Maleficent $70,000,000 $70
2.  X-Men: Days of Future Past $32,600,000 $162
3.  A Million Ways to Die in the West $17,069,000 $17
4.  Godzilla $12,225,000 $174.6
5.  Blended $8,425,000 $29.6
6.  Neighbors $7,715,000 $128.6
7.  The Amazing Spider-Man $3,775,000 $192.7
8.  Million Dollar Arm $3,700,000 $28
9.  Chef $2,009,000 $6.9
10.  The Other Woman $1,425,000 $81.1

Full details after the jump.

maleficent-poster-angelina-jolieBetween this weekend’s two major new releases, Maleficent cast the stronger spell.  Disney’s PG-rated reimaging of the Sleeping Beauty story arrived two weeks ahead of How to Train Your Dragon 2 and five weeks after Rio 2.  In other words, it was just in time to enchant family audiences.

Using the same formula that made Oz the Great and Powerful a hit last year, Maleficent combines CGI and live-action sequences but adds Angelina Jolie (in her first major role since 2010).  This morning’s estimate gives Jolie the biggest domestic opening of her career, topping the $50.9 million of 2010’s WantedMaleficent was expected to bring in about $60 million but it ended up higher thanks to a nice Saturday bump.  It crushed the $56.2 million that Snow White and the Huntsman earned on the same weekend in 2012, although Universal’s reimagined fairytale was rated PG-13 and lacked the 3D/large format price advantage that served Maleficent so well.

When compared to Oz the Great and Powerful, however, Maleficent came up a bit short.  Oz brought in $79.1 million from its opening and ended with $493.3 million in worldwide sales.  Maleficent could still wind up in that same global neighborhood, however.  So far, audiences have embraced the evil queen, giving the film a glowing ‘A’ CinemaScore.  By comparison, Oz the Great and Powerful scored a B+, as did Snow White and the Huntsman.  Because A-listers like Jolie still carry a lot of weight overseas, Disney can probably bank on strong international numbers. The film has already taken in $100 million from 35 markets.

Back in the US, Maleficent only has one more week before How to Train Your Dragon 2 sucks up all the family-audience oxygen, so next weekend’s hold will prove critical.  Oz had great holds in its second and third frames, but it was released in March… it’s not too hard to stay on top when you’re going up against The Incredible Burt Wonderstone.

The sophomore hold for last weekend’s number one film, X-Men: Days of Future Past, was a little steeper than Fox would have liked.  The all-star sequel earned an estimated $32.6 million, for a decline of 64%.  That’s more than X-Men: First Class, which fell by 56.2% on its sophomore frame in 2011, but better than the 69% drop that followed X-Men Origins: Wolverine’s debut in 2009.  But the big news this morning is that X-Men: Days of Future Past has already passed the $500 million mark worldwide.  The film earned $500.2 million in its first two weeks, making it the most successful release in the franchise’s history. The previous record was $459.3 million, set by 2006’s X-Men: The Last Stand.  Last week, the sequel also gave Fox its biggest international debut of all time, breaking the record set by Avatar.

million-ways-die-west-posterThis weekend’s second new release is poised to break no records.  A Million Ways to Die in the West is Seth MacFarlane’s follow-up to 2012’s Ted, a success of such magnitude that anything that followed it (save a sequel) was in danger of looking like a failure by comparison.  Luckily, no comparison is necessary to gauge the relative disappointment of A Million Ways.  Audiences gave the film a ‘B” CinemaScore while Rotten Tomatoes has it at just 33%.  Universal said it was expecting an opening in the $24 million range, though it barely broke $17 million.  They should count themselves lucky; yesterday it looked like $15 million might be a stretch.

The R-rated comedy follows a long line of disappointing Western-themed releases, including last summer’s Lone Ranger reboot.  The latter opened to $29.2 million and ended with just over $260 million in global sales.  That doesn’t seem so awful, until you factor in the film’s pricetag of $215 million (pre-marketing).  Luckily for Universal, A Million Ways to Die in the West was not as pricey (the studio is claiming a budget of $40 million).  On the other hand, there is almost no chance that the film’s North American loses will be mitigated overseas.  Not only are Westerns a tough sell in many countries, but the fact that Seth MacFarlane is now in front of the camera instead of voicing an animated bear can only hurt the film’s global chances.

No thanks to A Million Ways to Die in the West, this weekend’s overall box office was on par with the same frame last year, when Fast & Furious 6 was enjoying its second weekend in first place.  Also of note is the indie release Chef, directed by and starring Jon Favreau.  This weekend, Chef managed to remain in the top ten for a second frame after expanding its run by 126 theatres (now playing in 624 total).  A budget for the film has not been released, but so far Chef has earned almost $7 million after four weeks in limited release.

Next week brings two very different new features: Edge of Tomorrow and The Fault in Our Stars.  The first is a sci-fi action film starring Tom Cruise and is currently projected to take in between $25 and $35 million.  Cruise helped Oblivion get to $37 million last year, so the high end of that range is possible, provided the film itself is not a disappointment to genre fans like last month’s TranscendenceThe Fault in Our Stars is a wild card.  Most predictions put the film’s opening in the $20-$25 million range, though there is reason to believe the romantic drama could be a bigger hit.  Based on a VERY popular young-adult novel and starring Shailene Woodley, fresh off her success in Divergent, The Fault in Our Stars could reach $30 million, as Dear John did in 2010.  Depending on how well Maleficent holds, it could be a close race for first place…

EDGE OF TOMORROW




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  • Shawn T. Nicholson

    Surprised Xmen dropped so much….

    • ScratStitch

      ALL X-Men films have dropped that way.

      • MJ

        Yea, it will always be a second tier franchise. X-men is like the Cleveland Browns of the NFL.

      • Mike

        You really are fucking stupid aren’t you?

      • SorryNotSorry

        Calm down, maybe?

      • MJ

        But his little F-bomb hissy fit is all he has going here…

      • MJ

        So it’s a top tier major franchise? Who here really believes that? Prove it?

      • milo

        It’s past 500M worldwide already, looks like it has a good shot to do as well as Spidey 2 domestic and worldwide.

        Or is Spidey a second tier franchise now too?

      • MJ

        The original Spider-man trilogy was certainly an example of a Top Tier franchise. Spider-man 2, when adjusted for inflation, did about a billion dollars of business.

        Yes, this new ASM franchise has not reached those levels. It’s second tier. Nothing wrong with 2nd tier. Star Trek, Hulk, Superman and Thor are 2nd Tier, for example.

        1st Tier — Avengers, IM, Avatar, LOTR, Batman, original Spiderman trilogy, Star Wars, Bond

  • NoRCalJ

    Surprised A million Ways did as well as it did…sad to see X-Men take a huge hit in only its second weekend. Anyone taking notice of how poorly Spiderman is doing? Over marketing perhaps?

    • aceshigh

      X-Men was dropped into an already over-packed summer schedule. A major dropoff was inevitable, although it’s only $30 million behind ASM2 at Week 2. That’s pretty good.

      ASM2 was just a piss-poor movie. I think word of mouth got out quickly, although $192 mil is nothing to sneeze at.

      • MJ

        When the production budget is $200M, not including marketing (the marketing was so constant, I bet they spent $100M), then I think that the financial backers of ASM2 are indeed using Kleenex to remove snot from their noses here.

        Given the international audiences didn’t give a shit that the movie stunk, this movie may eventually break even though. You need to make about 2.5 the production/marketing costs before you make a profit on a given movie.

      • milo

        I have read that ASM2 cost $255M to make. If that’s really the case, the domestic numbers look that much worse.

      • MJ

        Wow, that is really high. Perhaps that includes marketing?

      • milo

        It’s already within 30M of ASM2, but it’s ahead of where ASM2, Godzilla, and even Cap 2 were at this point in their runs. The holds won’t be good enough to match Cap2′s final numbers, but it has a good chance of coming out ahead of Spidey and Godzilla. I’ve been saying since the first two weekends that Spidey might not even make it to 200M domestic. It might get there, but just barely.

  • Gannon

    Considering Million Ways To Die had to open amongst three high-performing films it did really good actually.

    • Person

      Exactly. It’s an R-rated Western comedy opening a week after an X-Men movie, the same weekend as a Disney movie with Angelina Jolie, and the weekend before the next Tom Cruise vehicle. All things considered, $17 million is solid. If the reviews had been better this could’ve perhaps earned in the high-20s.

      • MJ

        $17M is a complete dud for this release.

      • JoeNiqua

        Plus Universal was estimating $24 million.

      • Mike

        Only has a $40 million budget though. It didn’t do great because of the reviews, but it’s not a dud.

      • MJ

        A movie has to make 2.5 times its production/marketing budget to break even. It cost $40M to produce, and they at least must have spent $20M if not more on marketing. Therefore, it needs to gross $150m worldwide to make the break even point, beyond which profits can be made.

        So yes, opening with only $17M domestic and $10 international is a complete bust. This film could lose as much as $100M.

      • Person

        Exactly, the budget was low and marketing costs could’ve only put this around $70 million at the very most. This could very easily break even theatrically and turn a profit after DVD/ancillary sales factor in. MacFarlane’s not going anywhere anyway, Ted 2 should be here in a year or two (I forgot the release date).

  • Gooniesmurf

    Hmmmm, just a suggestion here, I know news tends to slow down during the weekend but I think you guys should stop posting these figures. I mean come on, there is still an entire day left here, regardless if you relying on Boxofficemojo figures, these are still ESTIMATES. Simply wait to post the final one that comes out on Monday, even those numbers are final estimates, but at least its way better than all this mid/early Sunday postings.

    • ScratStitch

      Why did you click on this article then if you had no interest in estimates?

    • Bob

      The numbers are pretty much spot on so to wait t post wouldn’t really make any difference.

    • MJ

      You ever heard of MATH and STATISTICS?

      It’s easy to accurately predict within just a couple of percentage points Sunday grosses with formulas based on historical regression analysis of previous movies (based on Friday/Saturday/Sunday performance), and come extremely close to what actual Sunday grosses will be.

  • TotesMcGotes

    I read something a while ago saying that it’s likely that Edge of Tomorrow will flop. I really hope that’s not the case, I watched it yesterday and thought it was really good.

  • Strong Enough

    who thought a million ways was a good idea? Its 2014 no one wants to see a fucking western comedy. Even if it’s from mastermind Seth

    • ScratStitch

      No one wants to see anything according to you.

      • Strong Enough

        We all want to see Tom Cruise get blown up 200 times

    • MITIOR

      Mastermind? I don’t wanna live in this world anymore

      • Strong Enough

        Do you know the nearest location to the highest cliff?

      • MITIOR

        No, but I’m trying to choke on a chicken wing right now!

      • Strong Enough

        good luck

    • MJ

      Correction, Einstein:

      No one wants to see a “REALLY BAD” western comedy.

      • Strong Enough

        Correction, Da Vinci

        No on wants to see a western comedy PERIOD

      • MJ

        Nope. And I can prove it:

        Really Bad Western Comedy – Million Ways to Die in the West (2014) = < $50M worldwide (my estimate)…a box office bomb

        Pretty Good Western Comedy – Rango (2011) = $245M worldwide…a box office mid-level hit

      • Strong Enough

        Rango is animated with a talking lizard for kids. No one wants to see Blazzing saddles 2014.

      • MJ

        Rango is a Western comedy that happens to be animated.

      • Strong Enough

        Rango is a kids film that happens to be a western.

      • MJ

        OK, I really didn’t want to, but I am going to have to pull out the big guns example here:

        CITY SLICKERS

        About $380M when adjusted for ticket price inflation.

        Case Closed !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      • Strong Enough

        let me repeat myself for you. No one wants to see a western comedy in 2014. 2014! City Slickers came out in the fuckin 90s. In 2014 no one wants a new version of city slickers, blazing saddles. period. and the box office shows it.

      • MJ

        You refuse to allow the more recent Rango to be included, and thus this SO CONVENIENTLY gives you ONE SINGLE MOVIE in this category (AMWTDITW) to make your point with — and that movie just plain sucks by anyone’s standards of any movie type.

        But your “greatest strength” of 100% of the 1 applicable movie here that supports your point is also it’s greatest weakness. It’s Statistics 101 my friend — you can’t prove a trend with a single data point. It’s not allowed. Nice try, but you purported trend is DOA based on lack of data to support the trend.

        Provide another example of recent western comedy that failed at the box office, and then you will have at least something.

        By my count, in the last 20 years, there have been 3 such movies, and two of them have been big hits. But again, it you want to rule out my two other examples, then the onus is on you to provide at least one more example than the one single case you are bringing up here???

        YOU CAN’T PROVE A TREND WITH ONLY ONE DATA POINT!

      • Strong Enough

        LMAO you only have one “data point” too with Rango. I only need one movie to prove my point. You don’t even have nothing to back you up constantly saying Rango when that movie doesn’t even count. It’s an animated film for kids. You see animated movies 99 percent of the time will always do great no matter what genre they fall into. It isn’t a blazing saddles with adult humor. Therefore VOID. But since you want to be such a pain in the ass how bout LONE RANGER? Western with bits of comedy all throughout. Floppppppppp. But I think you are misinterpreting what I’m saying. You said in the last 20 years. I KNOW Blazing saddles was a hit. I know there have been hit western comedies. I am TALKING ABOUT IN 2014 NO ONE WANTS TO SEE A WESTERN COMEDY.

        The public doesn’t want a blazing saddles 2014. Million Ways proves it. Lone Ranger proves it. I’m sure there won’t be anymore “data points” in the future after this flop though, if you catch my drift bwawawawa.

      • MJ

        YOU CAN’T PROVE A TREND WITH ONLY ONE DATA POINT!

      • Strong Enough

        LONE RANGER, MILLION WAYS! TWO DATA POINTS! OMG!

  • Sean

    I bet that the big box office revenue that Maleficent is making currently in the box office, is making the Disney Execs plan on a sequel to Maleficent with Angelina Jolie and Elle Fanning returning :) .

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  • Guy

    But Goldberg loved Burt Wonderstone.

  • MJ

    GUY SMILEY — you see this?

    MILO — you see this?

    It’s just as I predicted last Sunday, where you guys wouldn’t believe me. As I said last Sunday:

    “There is absolutely NO WAY this movie is going to make $250M domestic. It might crawl to $200M domestic, but I have doubts over that even. I would say $195M would be about the best case scenario, but sure, this estimate of mine could be off by perhaps $5M to $10M. Come back next weekend after the box office receipts are in, and let’s see if you are singing the same tune then. I bet it only makes $30M next weekend, and then drops like a stone to $15M the following week when the surprisingly greatly reviewed Edge of Tomorrow will dominate.”

    I predicted $30M this weekend, and it brought in $32M. Looks like I was pretty much SPOT-ON !!!

    How do you guys like your crow served?.

    • milo

      You said it would make 30M and I said it wouldn’t be that low. It was lower than I expected, but I was right, it wasn’t that low.

      It’s at 162M now (highest of any movie released so far this year at this point in its run). We’ll see next week, the competition is lighter and it will have a smaller drop. 15M for the third weekend is low, and 200M will not be a problem.

      • MJ

        OK. I suppose then you will “claim victory” next week if it makes $16M then — $1M more than my prediction — right?

        ;-).

  • The Flobbit

    Can I just go out on a limb here and say that Oz: The Great and Powerful is an utter embarassment to it’s talented cast and director. It’s awful. Haven’t seen Maleficent, but by the lacklustre trailers I think I can piece it together.

    Anyways, Snow White and the Huntsman is a better film than both those put together. It’s got a good cast, stunning visuals, amazing cinematography, and the CGI is excellent. A league above the rest, but still a disappointment.

    • MJ

      Love how you admit you didn’t even see Maleficent, but proclaim that Snow White and the Huntsman is better.

      I HAVE ACTUALLY SEEN BOTH FILMS — Maleficent is the superior movie here. The acting, in particular, was hands-down superior to SW&TH. And I felt much more invested in the characters than I did in SW&TH.

      I would never let others or reviewers or group-think tell me how to think about a movie. I see it for myself and use my own brain to determine the quality of it.

      • The Flobbit

        If you know I can’t convince you, and I know you won’t convince me, why bother commenting? Use your own advice and ignore people trying to change your opinion. No hard feelings…

      • MJ

        Just see the movie before prejudging, my friend.

        No hard feelings. You are good people.

      • The Flobbit

        OK, I will see it. I was merely expressing my fondness for Snow White and the Huntsman.

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