Going into February, many industry analysts saw the comic book film Deadpool as having potential to be hugely successful. However, virtually no one saw it nearly tripling its $58 million budget in its 4-day opening weekend, and the film has now grossed $600 million worldwide, leaving every other February release in its wake. Studios for some time will be analyzing who, why, and what made Deadpool such a success.

Looking ahead to March, it appears that the trend started by February of one film grossing exponentially more than the others will continue with Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, which is the first time two of the most popular comic book characters in history appear on screen together. Despite this, we should also see some decent business from Zootopia, Allegiant, and 10 Cloverfield Lane, which should push this ahead of the same frame last year when Chappie, Cinderella, Insurgent, and Home opened at #1 on their respective weekends.

London Has Fallen – March 4 (Gramercy Pictures)

Despite mediocre reviews, Olympus Has Fallen became a surprise hit in March of 2013 and beat out the higher profile and star-studded White House Down. The sequel arrives almost exactly three years later, this time taking the action to London where more world leaders are in jeopardy, larger buildings and monuments are exploding, and Morgan Freeman is once again doing damage control from the war room.

Not that any of that from a box office standpoint is necessarily a bad thing. Sequels with near identical plots tend to be some of the most successful, including The Mummy Returns and The Hangover: Part II, by bringing back the original cast and keeping the same basic elements but raising the stakes and having additional exotic locations.

Olympus Has Fallen had a great opening weekend ($30.3 million) and held on surprisingly well to a gross of $98.9 million despite direct competition from G.I. Joe: Retaliation a week later. London Has Fallen has action audiences to itself until Allegiant arrives two weeks later, but because its predecessor isn’t very highly regarded, it should come in a bit under.

• Opening Weekend: $25 million
• Projected Gross Range: $40 million - $90 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $65 million

The Other Side of the Door – March 4 (Fox)

2016 hasn’t exactly been a banner year so far for horror. While The Forest and The Boy brought in modest returns, Pride & Prejudice & Zombies flopped. The beginning of 2015 experienced a similar slump in horror, and it took the original and popular Unfriended and It Follows to break it.

Working in The Other Side of the Door’s favor is its trailer, which features several genuinely frightening moments and effectively lays out the creepy supernatural premise. Unfortunately, though, this one doesn’t look quite distinctive enough to break out, and Fox doesn’t seem to be putting a lot of marketing muscle behind it.

In addition, it faces tough competition for audiences seeking thrills from 10 Cloverfield Lane the following weekend. This should end up closer to The Forest’s $26.3 million than The Boy’s $33.3 million.

• Opening Weekend: $11 million
• Projected Gross Range: $20 million - $40 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $26 million

Whiskey Tango Foxtrot – March 4 (Paramount)

After delivering two moderate hits, Crazy Stupid Love and last year’s Focus, directors Glenn Ficarra and John Requa are trying their hand at political comedy with Whiskey Tango Foxtrot, based on the popular memoir The Taliban Shuffle: Strange Days in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

The trailer actually makes the film look quite funny, and Tina Fey looks to be playing well within her comedy wheelhouse. In addition, while Crazy Stupid Love and Focus are not perfect films, they are both hugely entertaining and feature great chemistry among their actors. Unfortunately, though, Paramount seems to be putting most of their March stock in 10 Cloverfield Lane, because it seems as though marketing for Whiskey Tango Foxtrot has been surprisingly light thus far. In addition, political comedies have had a rough track record in the last year or so. Last fall’s star-studded Our Brand Is Crisis and Rock The Kasbah both left theaters in a hurry.

Given the filmography of the directors as well as the hugely talented and appealing cast on display here, this should end up faring better than both of those films. Tina Fey has amassed a huge comedy following as a result of 30 Rock, as evidenced by last December’s Sisters’ $86.8 million gross. While that is likely out of reach here, a gross just below Focus does not seem out of the question, especially if the film turns out to be good.

• Opening Weekend: $14 million
• Projected Gross Range: $20 million - $60 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $38 million

Zootopia – March 4 (Disney)

Disney Animation has been on a hot streak with recent hits Frozen, Big Hero 6, and Wreck-It Ralph, and it looks as they will continue this trend with Zootopia. The trailers so far have shown off incredible funny dialogue, gorgeous animation, and the film’s broadly appealing premise.

One thing that separates Zootopia from the aforementioned Disney titles is the release date: all three of those were released in November and received a boost from the holidays and kids being out of school. DreamWorks Animation has released one film in March for the last few years, to varying degrees of success. On the high end is 2013’s The Croods with $187.1 million and on the lower end is Mr. Peabody & Sherman with $111.5 million.

Given that Zootopia has family audiences to itself for six weeks until The Jungle Book arrives, this should do solid business especially if the film ends up being as good as the trailers. A good target for this is Wreck-It Ralph’s $189.4 million, and maybe it will even go higher.

• Opening Weekend: $55 million
• Projected Gross Range: $150 million - $250 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $195 million

10 Cloverfield Lane – March 11 (Paramount)

10 Cloverfield Lane is one of the first big mainstream movies in a long time to come completely out of nowhere. It had been publicly stated that J.J. Abrams was producing a thriller under the name Valencia, but it wasn’t until the release of 13 Hours: The Secret Soliders of Benghazi that it became known that Valencia is actually a sequel, spinoff, or ‘blood relative’ (as Abrams calls it) of Cloverfield.

In 2008, the low budget, movie star free Cloverfield set the opening weekend record for January with $40.0 million, but it burnt out quickly and ended up with a final gross of $80.0 million. Despite the steep drop, the film is well regarded today with a 7.2 IMDB user rating and fans have been clamoring for a sequel.

Much like its predecessor (and arguably to a greater extent), 10 Cloverfield Lane has been completely shrouded in mystery. Three years ago, Abrams hid the presence of Khan from the Star Trek Into Darkness marketing campaign, which arguably led to a lower gross for the sequel than its predecessor. He seems to have learned from this mistake because while the trailers for 10 Cloverfield Lane doesn’t actually show the monster from the first film, there is a familiar roar at the end of the Super Bowl spot, and the release in IMAX indicates that something will be making an appearance. On the other hand, most of the footage we’ve seen takes place in John Goodman’s underground bunker, and the tagline ‘Monsters Come in Many Forms’ implies that the monster we’re all hoping to see may not show up.

Regardless of what ‘monsters’ appear in the film, 10 Cloverfield Lane has been met with a wave of hype that more or less guarantees a good opening weekend. However, as with many films, its staying power will be largely determined by its initial reception, which at this point is pretty much up in the air. Given the lack of competition for thrillers in March, though, this should hold on a bit better than its predecessor.

• Opening Weekend: $33 million
• Projected Gross Range: $50 million - $90 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $75 million

The Brothers Grimsby – March 11 (Sony)

It’s hard to believe that it’s been a decade since Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan put Sacha Baron Cohen on the map as one of the industry’s funniest working comedians. His next two solo outings, Bruno and The Dictator, fell short of Borat both commercially and critically, and The Brothers Grimsby looks like it will continue that trend.

Despite some funny trailers, reviews for the film have been mixed, and the release date has been delayed twice, which is typically not a good sign. In addition, outside of the Austin Powers franchise and a few exceptions (last year’s Spy), the spy comedy subgenre has a typically low ceiling box office wise (This Means War, Killers). While Cohen has some strong support from Mark Strong, Rebel Wilson, and Penélope Cruz, this should end up close to I Spy’s $33.5 million.

• Opening Weekend: $11 million
• Projected Gross Range: $20 million - $50 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $28 million

The Perfect Match – March 11 (Lionsgate)

In the last couple of years, romantic comedies aimed at African-American audiences have seen much success. 2012’s Think Like A Man grossed a huge $91.5 million, and About Last Night opened over Valentine’s Day in 2014 and ended its run with $48.6 million. Like Think Like A Man and About Last Night, The Perfect Match features a large ensemble cast. While Paula Patton, Cassie Ventura, and Terrence Jenkins are appealing actors, they don’t quite live up to the ensemble of Michael Ealy, Kevin Hart, and Taraji P. Henson. Also, Think Like A Man and About Last Night also likely received boosts from being based on previous works, while The Perfect Match is an original idea.

The plot of The Perfect Match, a playboy falling for a girl looking for a casual relationship, is an appealing one, but it seems too generic a premise to break out. In addition, the film’s R rating may limit its audience. This should end closer to Baggage Claim ($21.5 million), also starring Jenkins and Patton.

• Opening Weekend: $9 million
• Projected Gross Range: $15 million - $35 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $24 million

The Young Messiah – March 11 (Focus Features)

Based on the 2005 novel by Anne Rice, The Young Messiah chronicles the life of Jesus Christ from the ages of 7 to 8. The film has been stuck in development since 2007 and has had several false starts, but the result appears to have been worth the wait. The film stars everyone’s favorite villainous actor Sean Bean, and the high production values are well showcased in the trailer.

While the film will have a built-in audience from fans of Anne Rice, Christians may be turned off by the film being based on a non-Biblical book. The release of the film is timed nicely with Easter, but it faces tough competition for Christian audiences five days later from Miracles from Heaven. Given the uniqueness of a film dealing with Jesus as a child, this should be a modest hit for Focus.

• Opening Weekend: $15 million
• Projected Gross Range: $25 million - $65 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $48 million

Miracles from Heaven – March 16 (TriStar)

In the last two years, TriStar has had some major hits with faith-based films, particularly Heaven Is For Real ($91.4 million) and last year’s War Room ($67.7 million). Although the true story of Miracles from Heaven was heavily publicized at the time of its occurrence, the trailer still seems to give a bit too much away by showing the young girl’s sickness and her recovery after falling from a tree. Also, as mentioned above, this is the second-faith based film opening in five days. Both films are timed well with Easter approaching, but it seems likely that they will cannibalize each other for faith-based audiences.

Despite this, Miracles from Heaven seems poised to out gross The Young Messiah. Jennifer Garner has had a great track record at the box office with family films, and Eugenio Derbez’s presence will likely help bring in his large fan base. In addition, this story and the memoir it’s based on are both well known and seen as hugely inspirational, a key element in selling a film like this. While it likely won’t reach the heights of Heaven Is For Real, this should continue TriStar’s winning streak.

• Opening Weekend (5-day): $24 million
• Projected Gross Range: $50 million - $100 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $72 million

The Divergent Series: Allegiant – March 18 (Lionsgate)

With The Hunger Games franchise concluding in November, Lionsgate is likely looking for a new franchise to fill its void. Despite the new direction they seem to be taking, the Divergent series with Allegiant looks like it will continue the diminishing returns started by its predecessor Insurgent.

Very rarely do third installments in a series gross more than their predecessors, particularly when they are not the concluding entry in a trilogy (a fourth film is slated for 2017) and when they are met with lukewarm reception. Insurgent received worse reviews than Divergent and holds a low 6.3 IMDB user rating.

Another major hurdle facing Allegiant is the timing of its release. One week after Allegiant hits theaters, Warner Bros. will release Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, which targets a similar young-adult action-adventure audience. Given that Dawn of Justice is tracking for a $150+ million opening, it seems likely that moviegoers will quickly forget about Allegiant. Insurgent dropped 86.2% from Divergent, and it seems likely that Allegiant will follow this pattern.

• Opening Weekend: $45 million
• Projected Gross Range: $80 million - $140 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $105 million

Batman V. Superman: Dawn of Justice – March 25 (Warner Bros.)

With DC Comics films scheduled through 2020, Warner Bros. has a lot riding on Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice. Man of Steel debuted in 2013 to a fantastic opening weekend but fizzled out quickly. This may have left something to be desired and caused Warner Bros. to put their DC cinematic universe on the fast track, resulting in Batman being put back on screen only four years after Christopher Nolan's hugely popular series concluded.

Regardless of the reasoning behind it, the announcement was one of the biggest to come out of Comic-Con in the convention's history. Some of the trailers have been met with skepticism and arguably give a little too much away in terms of the plot, but for the most part they have elevated the excitement and anticipation surrounding the film. In addition, the fact remains that this is the first time in live-action cinematic history that these two characters have appeared on screen together, which alone makes it a phenomenon that fans will check out no matter how they react to the marketing material.

Ben Affleck's casting may been met with some initial backlash, but what we’ve seen in the trailers is in keeping with director Zack Snyder's description of an older, seasoned crime fighter, and Affleck appears to bring a suitably strong intensity and physicality to the role. In addition, backlash is almost always inevitable in a major casting decision, and in many cases the naysayers are silenced when the film is actually released (look no further than Daniel Craig’s spot-on casting as James Bond).

Dawn of Justice also brings back much of the cast from Man of Steel, including Henry Cavill, Amy Adams, Laurence Fishburne, and Diane Lane, and brings in the exciting additions of Wonder Woman (Gal Gadot) and Lex Luthor (Jesse Eisenberg). The film is all but guaranteed for a huge opening, but it will be interesting to see how well it holds. Given that it doesn’t have significant blockbuster competition until The Huntman Winter’s War three weeks later, it should hold on a bit better than Man of Steel.

• Opening Weekend: $155 million
• Projected Gross Range: $290 million - $450 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $390 million

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 – March 25

Although it was released fourteen years ago, My Big Fat Greek Wedding remains one of the most profitable films of all time, grossing $241.4 million on a $5 million budget. The sequel brings back most of the original cast, and like its predecessor, centers around the planning of a wedding.

Sequels released more than a decade after their predecessors have spotty track records. Last February’s Zoolander 2 significantly underperformed, which was released fifteen years after its predecessor. In addition, while it was a massive success, My Big Fat Greek Wedding wasn’t the kind of film that left fans clamoring for a sequel, and its 6.6 IMDB user rating indicates lukewarm success. For these reasons, the film will most likely not get anywhere near its predecessor’s $241.4 million gross.

The weekend of March 25 feels very reminiscent of that of July 18, 2008, when The Dark Knight and Mamma Mia! opened. Mamma Mia! served as counter-programming to The Dark Knight and effectively targeted female audiences to an opening of $27.7 million. That film was released just after the height of the stage musical’s popularity, so it would be unrealistic to expect My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 to match that opening. However, given the film’s modest budget, this should still end up being a hit for Universal.

• Opening Weekend: $20 million
• Projected Gross Range: $50 million - $90 million
• Estimated Final Gross: $75 million

Studio Predictions for March

After Fox dominated the first two months of the year with The Revenant, Kung Fu Panda 3, and Deadpool, the crown will likely be handed over to Warner Bros. this March, due to the guaranteed blockbuster Batman v. Superman.