I’ve been covering the Oscars professionally for nearly a decade now, and this is hands down the wildest season I’ve ever been a part of. I’m used to close calls between a couple of contenders and smear campaigns that can bring certain films down. But this has been a loud, contentious race that is quite frankly all over the place. Best Picture is pretty much wide open after the various guilds failed to coalesce behind one, two, or even three major contenders, and we’re dealing with an Academy whose voter demographic is in the midst of changing dramatically. And this is all to say nothing of the fiasco that is the Oscars telecast itself.
Precedents were made to be broken, and indeed as the Academy has grown younger and more diverse, they’ve strayed from “statistics” that point to certain winners. Stats told us that La La Land had Best Picture in the bag, and yet Moonlight took home the big prize with only one major guild win. So when it comes to predicting the big winners this year, there’s a lot more guesswork involved, and it’ll be mighty interesting to see where things land on Sunday night.
Having covered this year’s race since long ago, back when A Star Is Born was the frontrunner in five major categories, I’m mostly just ready to see where things fall. So without further ado, here are my final Oscar predictions in every single category.